by Derek Six | April 7, 2025
Updates for the period ending March 31, 2025
| .CCO 8s-Non-DEBs | Bid 13.15 | Ask 13.25 |
| .CCO 8s-DEBs | Bid 26.90 | Ask 27.00 |
CCO 8s are ARB-issued offsets available for spot delivery and subject to 8 years during which they may be invalidated.
| .CCO 3s- Non-DEBs | Bid 13.25 | Bid 13.35 |
| .CCO 3s- DEBs | Bid 27.00 | Bid 27.10 |
CCO 3s are ARB-issued offsets available for spot delivery and subject to 3 years during which they may be invalidated. The reduction to 3 years is achieved by having a different verifier successfully verify the project the following year.
| .CA Compliance Allowances | Bid 29.40 | Ask 29.50 |
Allowances are the permits entities purchase to emit in CA. Entities can substitute offsets for up to 4% of their total emissions. Prices shown are for the front-month futures contract.
| .CA Floor Price 2025 | 25.87 |
The minimum price at which entities can purchase allowances in 2025.
| .Estimated CA floor price 2026 | 27.84 |
Allowances are the permits entities purchase to emit in CA. Entities can substitute offsets for up to 4% of their total (the minimum price at which entities can purchase allowances in 2026 increases by 5% annually plus CPI-U).
(Bid/Ask Prices are taken from multiple broker quotes for the period ended March 31, 2025. The 2025 CA Floor Price is the regulatory minimum auction price for allowances. The 2026 estimate is based on regulatory rules and ClimeCo’s assumption of inflation in 2025 as measured by the CPI-U index. Green numbers indicate positive changes during the month, red numbers indicate negative changes during the month, and black numbers are unchanged.)
Offset Supply Information:
All CCOs issued to date: 273.06 million
CA and General Market Commentary:
- Market prices for CCAs and non-DEBs CCOs declined in March as market participants are impatient with delays related to the release by the CA Air Resources Board of the Cap-and-Trade regulatory amendments. Market participants are also waiting to see if the CA Legislature will act on proposals to extend the Cap-and-Trade program beyond 2030.
- Issuances of CCOs in March totaled 415,489. We are watching the issuance trends as compared to the same period in previous years to gauge the future available supply of DEBs and Non-DEBs offsets. Since 2021, issuances have generally been on a downward trajectory, but a single large forestry project issuance in February, 2025 of 3.6M credits has skewed the data substantially:
| .Year | Total Issuances YTD |
| .2021 | 5,614,930 |
| .2022 | 4,374,560 |
| .2023 | 1,899,323 |
| .2024 | 1,749,600 |
| 2025 | 5,315,394 |
ClimeCo is an award-winning leader in decarbonization, empowering global organizations with customized sustainability pathways. Our team of respected scientists and industry experts collaborates with companies, governments, and capital markets to develop tailored ESG and decarbonization solutions. Recognized for creating high-quality, impactful projects, ClimeCo is committed to helping clients achieve their goals, maximize environmental assets, and enhance their brand. Partner with ClimeCo to drive meaningful environmental change and take your climate initiatives to new heights.
Contact us at +1 484.415.0501, info@climeco.com, or through our website climeco.com.
